Ukufumana Us Ilungelo - Carnegie Yurophu - Carnegie Endowment kuba Ngamazwe Uxolo

Ukuqonda indlela West unako ukuphucula intsebenziswano ne-Russia, Carnegie Yurophu kwaye European-Nkqubo Centre co-ibonelele i-ingcali yolawulo abo wacebisa ukuba i-West kufuneka begin yi-lwesiqulatho apho kugxilwa kwi-Russia ke kwezoqoqosho umdla. Nangona uninzi iincwadi concentrate on Us kwezopolitiko regime, Trenin waxoxa watsho u-ukuba eli lizwe icacisiwe nge kakhulu ngaphezu nje"nzima politics"Kubalulekile yezentlalo, yezoqoqosho, kwaye yenkcubeko okwenzeke ingaba ekuguquleni Russian society, esingekhoyo"owned"Ngumongameli Vladimir Putin, ngaphandle Entshona perceptions. Okuninzi kutshintshile ukusukela glasnost kwaye perestroika era, kwaye labeling Us njengoko"Soviet Union."hayi kufanelekileyo, wathi Trenin. Capitalism kunye nempahla amalungelo ingaba inxaxheba kwi - uqoqosho, kwaye globalization kwaye Western inkcubeko kufuneka ifunyenwe indlela yabo kwi-Russian society. La ngamazwi iinkqubo eziza kubonisa ukuba Us ke kwixesha elizayo kwaye azinako lumisiwe nanguye nawuphi na ezopolitiko umkhosi. Enyanisweni, intando yesininzi phuhliso impembelelo yi-socio-economic okwenzeke ukuba kude umkhulu kangakanani kunayo amaqela ezopolitiko. Unyaka ngamnye, inani abantu usamkela ngaphezu KWETHU dollazi inyanga ukuchongeka yi-amahlanu ezigidi, kwaye lento iqela eliza ekugqibeleni kunye kweli lizwe kwezopolitiko nkqubo. Umnu Trenin wathi lo lokukhula bonke baya mthetho njengokuba counterbalance ukuba Kremlin ke tendency kwiintlanganiso centralized authoritarian amandla, phinda uxube Us kwezopolitiko ubuhle belizwe, kwaye ingaba ukucacisa uxanduva lwemimandla impembelelo kwi domestic kwaye iinqwelo-nkqubo. Trenin wagxininisa ukuba Us ayiyo ayiphumelelanga lwentando yesininzi: contemporary Us engasekho ngaphantsi yesininzi kunokuba kwakunjalo kwi-s, nangona kukho zazinokuba ngakumbi inkululeko a-decade eyadlulayo. Oku asiyo paradox kunokubonakala, ngenxa yokuba kukho umahluko phakathi cacisa inkululeko nolawulo lwentando yesininzi: owokuqala relates ukuba personal amalungelo, yokugqibela ukuba amalungelo ezopolitiko. Nangona kunjalo, i-Russia? sele elide indlela yiya ngakulo genuine lwentando yesininzi Nangona Kremlin iimboniselo i-West njengokuba threat yalo wesizwe umdla, i-Russia? ubona yayo Western neighbors njengokuba imodeli njani oko ungathanda ukuphuhlisa. Mat Kaminski, Eludongeni Street Journal Yurophu, criticized eminye imiba ye-Kremlin ukuziphatha kwe kwaye yokusebenza. Kuqala, ayo lokukhula authoritarianism ayikwazi ukwenza ngakumbi instability xa Umongameli Putin ke ixesha lokuba sesikhundleni siphela. I-regime ke rhoqo olubulalayo kwi indawo yayo kuba yatyhila njani buthathaka i-ruling iqela ngenene Okwesibini, inani abantu abaphila ne SANDULELA ngculaza ngu-ngokwandisa dramatically, apho zidibene kunye declining ezempilo iinkonzo ekubeni nefuthe elibi eli lizwe ke iinkcukacha ezibalulekileyo zelizwe. Ekugqibeleni, i-Russia ke seemingly ngamandla kuqoqosho kuphela nenkxaso phezulu yehlabathi i-oli amaxabiso, ubizo kwi umbuzo nokuba lizwe unako kuzigcina yayo uzinzo ukuba i-oli amaxabiso kuwa. Dov Lynch, Yabalawuli Advisor ukuba Umbutho kuba Ukhuseleko nentsebenziswano Aseyurophu (OSCE) Unobhala-Jikelele kwi-Vienna, wachaza ezibalulekileyo lwezopolitiko noqoqosho reforms ukuba kufuneka kuthathelwe ndawo Us phezu yokugqibela-decade, esenza eli lizwe unrecognizable ukusuka iminyaka elishumi eyadlulayo. Eli lizwe sele undoubtedly liqale kwi road ukuya capitalism, kwaye lento"beacon apho i-Russian inqanawe ngu-isihloko"waxoxa esitsho kwezopolitiko scholars kufuneka concentrate on examining loqoqosho okwenzeke kwaye elide ezopolitiko kunye namaqonga utshintsho oku kuza kuzisa. Ukuba i-West ifuna ukuphuhlisa fruitful intsebenziswano kunye Us kumele begin yi-analyzing Us ke umdla, eziya predominantly kwezoqoqosho.

Mutually beneficial urhwebo izivumelwano ingaba ifomu elungileyo iqala incopho kuba uthetha-thethwano phakathi Irussia West, kwaye iya kuwanikezela bhetele iziphumo kunokuba yayo ngoku kugxila amaxabiso.

Lynch wachaza ukuba Russians thatha ngenye reluctant stance ngakulo Western yesininzi ideals, njengoko ezi remind kwabo ye-troublesome Nineties, xa Us azama ubeke kumlilo senzo. I-Russian bonke ikholelwa ukuba oku kwenziwa lizwe i-West u -"buthathaka cousin", forcing yona kwi-beg inkxaso yemali, kwaye marginalizing kwi lezopolitiko mainstream ngaphandle ilizwi. Ngaphezu koko, kakhulu ukuba yayo disappointment ngexesha, i-Russia akazange nako uhlomele kwi-Western structures kwaye organizations. Kangangokuba, Russians bakholelwa ukuba intando yesininzi weakened Us kwaye waba detrimental yalo uphuhliso. Urobert Kagan, Yabalawuli Associate kunye Carnegie Endowment kuba Ngamazwe Uxolo kwi-i-brussels, wathi Trenin ke realistic insights kokuba provoked considerable-wonke jikeleziso, hayi noko ngenxa kokuba argued ukuba Us akazange ezama ukuba uhlomele kwi-West, endaweni preferring langaphandle-nkqubo ngokubhekiselele kwi indawo ukomelela. Nangona kunjalo, Kagan questioned Trenin ke assertion ukuba capitalism ngokuzenzekelayo yenza nomdla imibutho yoluntu, apho ke iimfuno ngakumbi yesininzi reforms. Imbali libonise ukuba oku paradigm akusebenzi ukuba lonke ilizwe okanye ingingqi Kagan wavuma ukuba West kufuneka amkele Us njengoko ibonakala namhlanje kwaye kufuneka concentrate on siphuhlisa kwezoqoqosho intsebenziswano. Nangona kunjalo, i-West ke perception ka-Russia njengoko i-authoritarian amandla uza inevitably nefuthe budlelwane.